It’s almost here! The day that non-cynical (or mostly non-cynical) movie lovers the world over look forward to all year! The 83rd Academy Awards air on Sunday (on WQOW, can I get a raise now?) and given that there have been 82 of these, I’m going to assume you’re familiar with the process, and I’m just gonna jump right into it, mmm-kay? Right, let’s begin.
Best Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
Nominees:
- 127 Hours: Danny Boyle, Simon Beaufoy
- The Social Network: Aaron Sorkin
- Toy Story 3: Michael Arndt, John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton, Lee Unkrich
- True Grit: Joel Coen, Ethan Coen
- Winter’s Bone: Debra Granik, Anne Rosellini
Who will win?
There is no scenario in which Aaron Sorkin doesn’t walk away with the statuette on Sunday. His motor-mouthed screenplay made The Social Network crackle, he has been rewarded with pretty much every writing award there is, and there is no reason to believe the Academy won’t do the same. It will be a well-deserved victory for a tremendous script.
Who should win?
Aaron Sorkin deserves to win this award, however if it turns out that the Academy lost it’s mind and didn’t vote for Sorkin, I’d be okay with it as long as the Oscar went, instead, to the team behind Toy Story 3. With a screenplay that alternates between moments of unfiltered joy and heart-wrenching despair (in a kids’ film, to boot!), Lasseter and Co. continued to prove why nobody can match Pixar at what they do.
Best Writing (Original Screenplay)
Nominees:
- Another Year: Mike Leigh
- The Fighter: Scott Silver, Paul Tamasy, Eric Johnson, Keith Dorrington
- Inception: Christopher Nolan
- The Kids Are All Right: Lisa Cholodenko, Stuart Blumberg
- The King’s Speech: David Seidler
Who will win?
I have a horrible sinking feeling that David Seidler may walk away with it for The King’s Speech, given that everybody (me included) loves that film, but if Christopher Nolan doesn’t win for his deftly labyrinthine script for Inception, I will probably throw something at my tv.
Who should win?
See above.
Best Supporting Actress
Nominees:
- Amy Adams: The Fighter
- Helena Bonham Carter: The King’s Speech
- Melissa Leo: The Fighter
- Hailee Steinfeld: True Grit
- Jacki Weaver: Animal Kingdom
Who will win?
This is, by far, the most interesting category of the year. Literally all five of these women gave astonishing performances that are all equally deserving of awards. The frontrunner is Melissa Leo, who absolutely disappeared into her role in The Fighter. She’s been cleaning up this awards season, and I predict that an Oscar-sized void on her mantle will soon be filled.
Who should win?
The only thing that could potentially derail a victory for Leo is the sudden presence of newcomer Hailee Steinfeld, who, up until the Oscar nominations, had been recognized for a leading role (because, you know, it was). And her powerful performance in True Grit, plus the heftiness of a leading role could potentially make for an upset victory. And quite frankly, it wouldn’t be undeserved.
Best Supporting Actor
Nominees:
- Christian Bale: The Fighter
- John Hawkes: Winter’s Bone
- Jeremy Renner: The Town
- Mark Ruffalo: The Kids Are All Right
- Geoffrey Rush: The King’s Speech
Who will win?
For undergoing a physical transformation, portraying a real-life person, and adding humanity to a larger-than-life character, Christian Bale has this in a lock. After a decade of dark, introspective roles, it was incredibly refreshing and an absolute joy to behold the natural charisma that Bale displayed in The Fighter.
Who should win?
The popular opinion on this one would be Geoffrey Rush for The King’s Speech, and while he was terrific in the film, it’s the kind of performance an actor of Rush’s caliber could give in his sleep. No, instead if I were handing out the awards, I’d give this one to dark-horse candidate John Hawkes for his chilling performance in Winter’s Bone. As the gruff uncle who’s family obligations finally overwhelm his self-preservation, Hawkes proved a powerful force, and it would be a thrill if the Academy recognized it.
Best Actress
Nominees:
- Annette Bening: The Kids Are All Right
- Nicole Kidman: Rabbit Hole
- Jennifer Lawrence: Winter’s Bone
- Natalie Portman: Black Swan
- Michelle Williams: Blue Valentine
Who will win?
For a shocking teeter-totter act that found her character veering wildly between chilling precision and unhinged instability, and for feeling natural throughout all of this, Natalie Portman absolutely deserves to (and will) win an Oscar for Black Swan. Despite favoring roles slightly on the fringe of normality throughout her career, with this film Portman plumbed depths that I don’t think anybody thought she had. Her natural pixie-ness is perfectly at odds with her role, and for as shocking as it was, it’s nice to see her getting the accolades she deserves.
Who should win?
I suppose I could talk about how powerful Annette Bening was in The Kids Are All Right, and she was, but that doesn’t change the fact that Natalie Portman absolutely deserves the Oscar this year. Sorry Annette.
Best Actor
Nominees:
- Javier Bardem: Biutiful
- Jeff Bridges: True Grit
- Jesse Eisenberg: The Social Network
- Colin Firth: The King’s Speech
- James Franco: 127 Hours
Who will win?
This one’s a no-brainer, because there is no way that Colin Firth doesn’t win for The King’s Speech. Let’s look at the facts, he portrayed a disability with dignity, he was playing somebody from real life, and he was (quite frankly) really freaking good. Displaying a vulnerability at odds with his position of power, and for making us feel the devastation that that caused his character, Firth completely deserves this one.
Who should win?
Again, the person who should win is the person who will win. The only possible contender, I think, is James Franco for 127 Hours, but that movie didn’t make nearly as much noise as the producers wanted, and as such he doesn’t stand a chance.
Best Director
Nominees:
- Darren Aronofsky: Black Swan
- Ethan Coen, Joel Coen: True Grit
- David Fincher: The Social Network
- Tom Hooper: The King’s Speech
- David O. Russell: The Fighter
Who will win?
This is where things get interesting, again. There isn’t exactly a clear frontrunner in this category, however, since I’m making predictions, and “Mm… I dunno” isn’t a prediction, I’m going to say David Fincher will win for The Social Network. Fincher stepped outside his comfort zone a bit, but still managed to provide a distinct visual style and rhythm to the film which went a long way towards endearing it to audiences. However, keep an eye out for Tom Hooper, who managed to take what could have been a very typical costume drama, and imbued it with a unique atmosphere and a dynamic visual style.
Who should win?
Well, if the question is which director in 2010 further proved himself a master technician and an expert story teller, that’s easy. Unfortunately Christopher Nolan wasn’t nominated for directing Inception, which is a travesty that will forever live in infamy (a slight exaggeration, sure, but don’t underestimate nerds). So of the nominated directors, who provided the most unique and well-executed vision? Well, in those terms, the clear winner is Darren Aronofsky, who’s Black Swan proved to be the most shocking and viscerally exciting films of the year.
Best Picture
Nominees:
- 127 Hours
- Black Swan
- The Fighter
- Inception
- The Kids Are All Right
- The King’s Speech
- The Social Network
- Toy Story 3
- True Grit
- Winter’s Bone
Who will win?
The smart money is on The King’s Speech. I admit that. It’s the odds-on favorite, and in all likelihoods it will probably win. HOWEVER! I’m going against the grain, and I’m going to predict that The Social Network will take the top prize. I know the Academy loves a costume drama, and The King’s Speech offered a unique take on an old formula, but I feel like the Academy (in it’s never-ending bid to seem hip) will jump at the chance to bestow the award to the cool internet movie. I could be wrong though.
Who should win?
As I’ve said before, my pick for the best film of 2010 is Black Swan. I know that the sensibilities required to thoroughly enjoy this film are much different than the ones that go into voting for Best Picture, but to me, no film captured my interest and held it for it’s entire runtime better than Aronofsky’s masterpiece. Well… that, and Toy Story 3, that could win, too.
Miscellaneous
The engravers can probably just go ahead and get a head start on the award for Best Animated Feature, because Toy Story 3 has it in a lock. I’d like Dogtooth to win Best Foreign Language film just because it might inspire some people to seek it out, and their reaction to the inherent weirdness of that film would be delightful. And I hope Exit Through The Gift Shop wins Best Documentary, not only because it was the most entertaining documentary I’ve ever seen, but also because I want to see what Banksy will do for his acceptance.
Posted under Kyle's Adventures in Pop Culture