Sports Geek’s 2012 Fantasy Football Preview: QB

As the NFL season gets closer every day, so does your fantasy draft. The Sports Bank fantasy football previews conclude with the quarterback position.

Full Rankings

1. Aaron Rodgers, GB (10): He’s already the best quarterback in the league and only getting better. The question isn’t if Rodgers should be the first quarterback drafted, it’s whether he should be the first player drafted.

2. Tom Brady, NE (9): Brady gets the slight edge over Brees because the Patriots got him more weapons in the offseason. Expect Brandon Lloyd to play a role similar to Randy Moss in his New England tenure. There’s no shortage of weapons at Brady’s disposal.

3. Drew Brees, NO (6): A very good consolation prize if Brady and Rodgers are off the board. Brees set an NFL record with 5,476 passing yards last season. He has a chance to eclipse that number as Brees will serve as the defacto offensive coordinator this season.

4. Matthew Stafford, DET (5): There’s a drop off from the top three, but Stafford is clearly the best of the rest. He played a full 16 games for the first time in his career and rewarded the faith of fantasy owners by tossing more than 40 touchdowns. If he can stay healthy again, there’s no reason to believe he won’t put up similar numbers.

5. Cam Newton, CAR (6): No rookie hit the NFL quite like Cam, who obliterated a number of rookie passing records. And let’s not forget his 14 rushing touchdowns, which is what truly makes him fantasy gold. The real question is if Newton can avoid the dreaded sophomore slump.

6. Peyton Manning, DEN (7): He comes to Denver with a huge chip on his shoulder.  Doubting Manning has made a lot of writers look stupid in the past. I won’t doubt Manning.

7. Michael Vick, PHI (7): When Vick was healthy in 2010 he put up a truly special fantasy campaign. No one denies he has the ability to be elite, but there are a lot of reasons to think he can’t stay healthy for a full season. If you roll the dice, invest in a backup early in the draft.

8. Eli Manning, NYG (11): Eli was all over the map last season. His good was extremely good as he finished 6th in scoring among quarterbacks. But he produced less than 11 points in a quarter of his games. I think he’ll be good once again, but be prepared to ride the rollercoaster.

9. Tony Romo, DAL (5): Don’t trust what ESPN was telling you. Romo had a good fantasy season, putting up 31 touchdowns opposed to just 10 interceptions. He’s got a bevy of weapons and an offense that prefers to air it out. He won’t be flashy, but you could do a lot worse.

10. Philip Rivers, SD (7): Let’s be clear: Rivers was terrible last year. That being said, he’s a former top-five QB in a pass-happy offense. If you’re willing to take the chance, you could be well rewarded.

11. Matt Ryan, ATL (7): All the pieces are there for Matty Ice to take leap to elite quarterback. Although, the same thing could be said about last year.

12. Jay Cutler, CHI (6): Cutler is an underrated fantasy option. The edition of a legitimate #1 receiver in Brandon Marshall will help Cutler immensely. The last time the duo was together, Cutler was a top-five fantasy quarterback. That kind of jump might be a stretch, but he should be above average.

13. Ben Roethlisberger, PIT (4): Big Ben gets a lot of respect for playing through injuries s but that didn’t translate into points for his fantasy owners. Still, he’s an above-average talent with some really good receiving options. His ceiling this year will depend on the development of his offensive line.

14. Matt Schaub, HOU (8): Schaub returns from injury to a team that has its sights set on the Super Bowl. He’s been a solid fantasy player for years but his elite days might be behind him. When healthy last year, he topped 300 yards just twice. Don’t overreach for Schaub.

15. Josh Freeman, TB (5): Freeman was a fantasy darling in 2010 and expectations were extremely high for him last year. Then last year happened. He went from 25 TDs and 6 INTs in 2010 to 16 TDs and 22 INTs last year. Something tells me the real Josh Freeman is likely somewhere in between and the addition of Vincent Jackson certainly won’t hurt.

16. Joe Flacco, BAL (8): Joe Flacco is not higher on this list because the Ravens offensive game plans are more conservative than Rush Limbaugh. The talent and weapons are there but I wouldn’t get too excited until there are signs of the offense opening up.

17. Robert Griffin III, WSH (10): A word of caution to those who are considering drafting RG3 as their starting quarterback. Only one rookie has been a legitimate fantasy starter in the past two decades and that was Cam Newton. Still, in a keeper league, Griffin should go a little higher than you would normally consider drafting him.

18. Carson Palmer, OAK (5): I’m a little higher on Palmer than most. He was thrown into a tough situation last season and was better than his numbers indicated. He’s got some decent weapons in Denarius Moore and Darrius Heyward-Bey and has a full offseason to work with them. Palmer is worth watching.

19. Sam Bradford, STL (9): You’re not drafting Bradford to be your fantasy starter and his upside is much higher than the names below. He was sacked a ridiculous 36 times last season and suffered through injuries. Expect things to be better under new coach Jeff Fischer.

20. Andrew Luck, IND (4): Everything I wrote about RG3 goes for Luck as well. He’s rated lower because there aren’t as many weapons at his disposal. Still, I’d pick Luck higher in a keeper league.

21. Ryan Fitzpatrick, BUF (8): There’s no doubt that Fitzpatrick was impressive at the start of last season, but there’s also no doubt that he was a terrible fantasy quarterback the rest of the way. Reported a rib injury can be credited with some of his struggles, but I’ll still wait before trusting him fully.

22. Andy Dalton, CIN (8): Don’t get too excited about Dalton’s season last year. Despite leading the Bengals to the playoffs last season, he struggled down the stretch, topping 235 yards just once in his final six games. There’s still work to do before Dalton is a fantasy starter.

23. Alex Smith, SF (9): Smith has new toys to play with, but he’s still the same old Alex Smith. He’s never been the type to heave it deep and will look for the check down more often than not. He’ll give you double-digit points, but you shouldn’t expect much.

24. Matt Flynn, SEA (11): I liked Flynn a lot more as a fantasy quarterback before the Seahawks’ camp opened. Now there is a real chance that he won’t even be the starter to open the season. You might want to hold off drafting either quarterback until Pete Carroll makes an announcement.

25. Matt Cassel, KC (7): Cassel is still riding the momentum he gained when he stepped in as Tom Brady’s replacement. Last year before breaking his hand, he had just 10 touchdowns while tossing nine interceptions. Not exactly awe-inspiring numbers. He’s no more than a spot starter.

26. Jake Locker, TEN (11):  Locker might be Tennessee’s future but he’s not the present for fantasy football owners. Still, monitor his situation as his running ability makes him a potential backup candidate.

27. John Skelton, AZ (10): Most likely will be the starting quarterback out of fall camp. Good for him. Fantasy owners should wait and see what he does before rolling the dice.

28. Blaine Gabbert, JAX (6): Ditto.

29. Christian Ponder, MIN (11): Double ditto.

30. Tim Tebow, NYJ (9): Ugh, I don’t like having Tebow on this list any more than you like seeing it. The fact is there are a lot of unknowns when you get this far down on the rankings and Tebow is a proven fantasy contributor (notice I didn’t say passer). Mark Sanchez is the starting quarterback but if (when) Tebow takes over, he’s worth owning.

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This post was written by Stephen on August 23, 2012

Sports Geek’s 2012 Fantasy Football Preview: RB

As the NFL season gets closer every day, so does your fantasy draft. The Sports Bank fantasy football previews continue we take a look at a running back position that has as many question marks as answers.

Full Rankings

1. Arian Foster, HOU (8): One of the few elite options at the position, Foster finished fourth in fantasy points among fantasy backs despite missing almost all of four games. He’s back and healthy this year. Watch out.

2. LeSean McCoy, PHI (7): Shady got into the end zone 20 times last year and was one of the lone bright spots in Philly. He and Ray Rice both make sense as the number two back, but McCoy is used more in the passing game, so I’m giving him the edge.

3. Ray Rice, BAL (8): He had a career-best fantasy season and earned himself a five-year contract. He’s the key to Baltimore’s offense and will see plenty of touches. The only reason he’s not higher on this list is the Ravens didn’t fully commit to giving him the ball every game. Hopefully they’ve learned their lesson.

4. Chris Johnson, TEN (11): Had one of the best-ever fantasy seasons in 2010, living up to the nickname CJ2K. Last year he was just out of synch, thanks to his holdout and the league’s lockout. He’s more focused this year and will get more work with 2nd-year pro Jake Locker taking over the starting QB job.

5. Maurice Jones-Drew, JAX (6): Would be near the top of this list, but holdouts always seem to affect a player (see above). I’ll feel much better about MJD when he gets back into camp.

6. Matt Forte, CHI (6): He led the NFL in yards from scrimmage when he was healthy last year, before a knee injury held him out of the final four games. The Bears brought in Mike Tice to be the offensive coordinator and he’s made it known he wants the running game to be the focus of the offense. Don’t worry about Michael Bush, Forte is still the man in Chi-town.

7. Jamaal Charles, KC (7): Last year he was a top-5 fantasy back but killed a number of fantasy teams when he tore his ACL in the second week. He’s fully healthy and has shown what he can do even when sharing the load in the backfield (see Peyton Hillis below). Many fantasy sites will undervalue Charles this season. Those sites will be wrong.

8. Marshawn Lynch, SEA (11): Skittles for everyone! In a world of platoon backfields, Lynch is one of the few lead backs out there. Still, which Lynch will fantasy owners get this year: The 2011 version of Beast Mode or the guy who didn’t seem to care in Buffalo? I tend to think the former, but be fantasy owners should be warned.

9. Adrian Peterson, MIN (11): Peterson is a freak of nature and looks like he’ll be ‘healthy’ for the start of the season. Yes, he’s probably coming back too early and very well could be injured again. But as a late second or early third round pick, isn’t the risk worth the reward?

10. DeMarco Murray, DAL (5): Murray starts what will be a common theme in this column. He’s extremely talented but the question with him (as well as many of the running backs below) is if he can stay healthy. He’s started just seven games during his rookie year, but also has a huge upside

11. Ryan Mathews, SD (7): Mathews put together the kind of season the Chargers were expecting when they drafted him in the first round. The worry for fantasy fans is whether he can stay healthy for 16 games. He didn’t get off to a good start in the preseason, breaking his collarbone on his first carry. That being said, he’ll be ready for the beginning of the season.

12. Darren McFadden, OAK (5): Was on his way to a special fantasy season before getting hurt in week seven. Michael Bush is no longer in Oakland to steal carries, but will McFadden stay healthy (see, I told you this would be a trend).

13. Fred Jackson, BUF (8): I’m sounding like a broken record at this point. Jackson was on his way to a top-five fantasy season before breaking his right leg in week 11. He’s back, but will have to split the load with C.J. Spiller.

14. Steven Jackson, STL (9): Jackson’s best fantasy years were wasted by the Rams, and for that, they owe all fantasy owners an apology. He’s still able to put up good fantasy numbers and St. Louis should be better, but there is a lot of tread on his tires.

15. Michael Turner, ATL (7): Turner started to break down at the end of the season, averaging an uninspiring 3.2 yards per carry in his final six games (not counting the week 17 matchup with Tampa Bay when the Bucs just wanted the season to end). The Falcons are quickly becoming a passing team, but expect Turner to still be the top option around the red zone.

16. Trent Richardson, CLE (10): Richardson has the talent to put of a big year but will the Browns do enough to let him blossom? Also, I’m not thrilled to see him suffering injuries before the season even begins.

17. Darren Sproles, NO (6): In a PPR league, he’s a top-10 running back. Even in a standard scoring league, it’s hard to pass up a guy who touched the ball 173 times last season. He has the confidence of Drew Brees and that’s good enough for me.

18. Ahmad Bradshaw, NYG (11): Bradshaw fought a number in injuries last year after his stellar 2010 fantasy season. His production this season will come down to his health and the development of his offensive line.

19. Frank Gore, SF (9): Gore did a lot of great things for fantasy owners and that won’t be forgotten. That being said, I am very down on Gore this season. The 49ers backfield is a jumbled mess between free agent additions and draft picks and the prevailing thought is Gore will be hard-pressed to replicate his 20-plus touches per game.

20. BenJarvus Green-Ellis, CIN (8): My fantasy sleeper running back, the Law Firm is finally out of the fantasy wasteland that was the Patriots backfield and will be given the opportunity to shine in Cincy.

21. Reggie Bush, MIA (7): Miami’s offense will be a work in progress with a rookie QB under center. That should only mean more touches for Bush. Don’t forget, he’ll also be very involved in a passing game that is extremely thin at wide receiver.

22. Beanie Wells, AZ (10): There’s good Beanie Wells and bad Beanie Wells. The good is the guy who rushed for over 1,000 yards and 10 scores last year. The bad is the guy who continually struggles to stay off the injury report.

23. Doug Martin, TB (5): Greg Schiano has no ties to LeGarrette Blount and has been extremely high on Martin, even comparing him to Ray Rice. Martin is a three-down back and will be given ample opportunity to keep the starting job.

24. Shonn Greene, NYJ (9): The Jets’ offense is going to be bad. At least Green should get the ball in Tony Sparano’s offense. Let’s just hope that Tim Tebow doesn’t take away too many goal line carries.

25. Jonathan Stewart, CAR (6): If he was the lead back in Carolina, you’re looking at a top-10 fantasy RB. Alas, the jumble in the Panthers backfield brings down the value of every guy. And honestly, Cam Newton’s goal line carries aren’t helping anyone either.

26. Willis McGahee, DEN (7): Peyton Manning will make the Broncos’ offense better, but the focus will shift away from the run game. Still, McGahee will see the field plenty and is the top option around the goal line.

27. Stevan Ridley, NE (9): Gets the first crack at replacing Green-Ellis as the Patriots lead back. Fantasy owners should be warned; Bill Belichick hates fantasy owners and will rotate a number of players in the backfield. You’ve be warned.

28. Isaac Redman, PIT (4): With Rashard Mendenhall injured to start the season and no experienced options behind him, Redman figures to see plenty of work early.

29. Cedric Benson, GB (10): Possibly the most talented back Green Bay has had in a while. This is a passing team, but Benson’s use in this Thursday’s preseason game should be monitored. He’s an interesting prospect.

30. Ben Tate, HOU (8): Backing up Arian Foster would kill a lot of player’s fantasy potential, but the Texans lead the league in run attempts and give both backs carries. Tate topped double digit fantasy points six times last season and his stock would soar if Foster were injured.

31. Donald Brown, IND (4): He’s claimed the Colts starting job and has looked extremely effective in the preseason. At the very least, you know he’ll get a solid number of carries. At this point on the list, that’s all you can ask.

32. Kevin Smith, DET (5): Jahvid Best is on the PUP list and might not even play this year. Kevin Smith is the starter for the foreseeable future.

33. Roy Helu, WSH (10): Never trust a running back on a Mike Shanahan team. Never.  Helu might get 20 carries one game and not sniff the ball for the next three. There’s just no way to know. Pass on all the Redskins’ backs.

34. DeAngelo Williams, CAR (6): See Stewart, Jonathan.

35. C.J. Spiller, BUF (8): Spiller came on strong in relief of Fred Jackson, showing a propensity to catch the ball out of the backfield. The Bills are rumored to use Spiller as a wide receiver in a number of sets, so his value might be highest in a PPR league.

36. Mark Ingram, NO (6): Ingram is in a loaded backfield in a pass-heavy offense. The talent is there, but he might not be more than an injury replacement until the Saints show they are committed to the run.

37. Peyton Hillis, KC (7): His terrible 2011 season got him shipped out of Cleveland and backing up Jamaal Charles in KC. He’s an elite goal line back and a number of fantasy ‘experts’ are high on Hillis, but I’ll wait to see how he’s used before getting too excited.

38. Toby Gerhart, MIN (11): It would behoove the Vikings to bring back Adrian Peterson slowly to keep him healthy. At the very least, that means a lot more Toby Gerhart early in the season. And if AP can’t stay healthy, Gerhart becomes a good back to have on your roster.

39. David Wilson, NYG (11): Ahmad Bradshaw suffered through injuries last year. Wilson is a speedster with a very unique skillset and should find ways to get onto the field.

40. Daniel Thomas, MIA (7): Thomas had over 200 yards in his first two games, but seemed a little overwhelmed with the spotlight his rookie year. Bush is the main guy in Miami, but Thomas has talent to begin to take away carries.

41. Felix Jones, DAL (5): Had a chance at the starting job a year ago and pulled a ‘Felix Jones’ by showing a lack of durability and effectiveness. The talent is there, but like many fantasy owners, the Cowboys might be fed up with the act.

42. James Starks, GB (10): With Green Bay getting rid of Ryan Grant, it appeared Starks was ready to be ‘the guy.’ Instead he struggled in the preseason, living up to his fragile moniker and forcing the Packers to sign Cedric Benson. As it stands, expect Starks to be nothing more than a backup on a pass-heavy offense.

43. Bernard Scott, CIN (8): If Green-Ellis doesn’t perform well in Cincy; Scott will get the first crack at replacing him. He’s got the makeup to be a three-down back, but clearly the Bengals didn’t see enough to make him the guy this offseason.

44. Shane Vereen, NE (9): Will see carries and will get the first crack to step in if Stevan Ridley can’t get the job done.

45. LeGarrette Blount, TB (5): Rookie running backs are known to struggle and Blount is hungry since losing his job to Doug Martin. Let’s just say if he gets the opportunity to win back his spot at some point in the season, I’d want Blount on my team.

46. Pierre Thomas, NO (6): See Ingram, Mark.

47. Jonathan Dwyer, PIT (4): Isaac Redman is far from established and has struggled with a nagging hip injury in training camp. Dwyer’s the next man up if Redman is hurt or ineffective.

48. Ryan Williams, AZ (10): If Cardinals fans see the bad Beanie Wells reemerge, Williams is going to be a hot commodity.

49. Rashard Mendenhall, PIT (4): At this point in our rankings (and in your fantasy draft), Mendenhall is worth a pick. He’ll return around midseason and at the very least will be a more than capable fantasy backup.

50. Mikel Leshoure, DET (5): As noted earlier, there is a real chance Jahvid Best will spend the entire season on the PUP list. Leshoure has made more news off the field than on, but Kevin Smith isn’t exactly a top-flight prospect. Expect Leshoure to get a shot at some point.

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This post was written by Stephen on August 21, 2012

Sports Geek’s 2012 Fantasy Football Preview: WR

As the NFL season gets closer every day, so does your fantasy draft. Stephen Kelley’s fantasy football previews continue with a look at the surprisingly deep wide receiver position.

Full Rankings

1. Calvin Johnson, DET (5): Bigger, faster and stronger than any other receiver in the league. He should be the top pass catcher off the board.

2. Larry Fitzgerald, AZ (10): He’s put up big numbers despite ineffectiveness at quarterback. Last season he dipped below 50 yards just once. It doesn’t matter who’s under center as long as they can throw the ball near Fitzgerald.

3. Andre Johnson, HOU (8): Injuries have cut Johnson’s season short last year, and he’s missed multiple games in four of seven seasons. When he’s healthy, there are few better. Depends if you want to bet that’ll happen.

4. Mike Wallace, PIT (4): He’s a threat to go to the house every time he touches the ball. The emergence of Antonio Brown takes some of the pressure (and attention) off of Wallace. Now that he’s in camp, it shouldn’t take long for him to become Big Ben’s favorite target once again.

5. Wes Welker, NE (9): The two tight ends get the attention (and rightfully so), but all Welker does is catch the ball and make plays. Pencil him in for well over 100 catches and 1,000 yards.

6. Roddy White, ATL (7): White was second in the league in catches last year, so he’s shown he can coexist with Julio Jones. But to move up on this list, he’ll need to be more consistent. He led the league with 11 drops last season.

7. Greg Jennings, GB (10): The good news for Jennings is that Green Bay is going to air out the ball a ton. The bad news is there are plenty of candidates to catch that ball. Still, Jennings has been the most consistent and prolific of the receivers.

8. A.J. Green, CIN (8): He’ll see the ball a ton, he’ll catch the ball a ton. The scary thing? He’s only getting better.

9. Hakeem Nicks, NYG (11): Nicks has the talent to be near the top of this list, but like Johnson, he needs to find a way to stay on the field. The latest injury to his foot has him slated to return by the first week. It’s hard to argue with his talent when he’s healthy.

10. Brandon Marshall, CHI (6): Marshall has finished in the top 13 in fantasy points among wide receivers the past five years despite a myriad of terrible quarterback play. He had his best seasons when playing with Jay Cutler, his new (old) quarterback. It doesn’t take much to read between the lines.

11. Jordy Nelson, GB (10): He might not be listed as the top receiver on his own team, but Nelson found the end zone 15 times last season. While touchdowns don’t always transfer year to year, he’s earned the trust of Aaron Rodgers around the end zone.

12. Victor Cruz, NYG (11): What will he do as an encore, with defenses regularly game planning for him? The answer to that question will affect where you should draft Cruz. I’m not as high on him as some, but he put together one of the better seasons we’ve seen in a while.

13. Steve Smith, CAR (6): Rejuvenated by the emergence of Cam Newton, Smith is once again a player worth picking high on your draft board.

14. Marques Colston, NO (6): Finished with over 50 yards in all but one game and is a legitimate red zone weapon. Drew Brees likes to spread the ball around, but always seems to find Colston enough to make him a reliable fantasy starter.

15. Brandon Lloyd, NE (9): I’m very high on Lloyd this season. He’s reunited with offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, under whom he had his best seasons in Denver. He’s best used on deep routes – which Tom Brady will be more than happy to throw. Lloyd has the chance to fill the role in the Pats offense vacated by Randy Moss a few years ago.

16. Vincent Jackson, TB (5): The Buccaneers spent $55-million to bring Jackson to Tampa Bay. You don’t buy a new toy not to play with it.

17. Julio Jones, ATL (7): Was a bit inconsistent during his rookie season, but has all the physical tools to be a top-10 fantasy receiver.

18. Dez Bryant, DAL (5): See above, except substitute ‘first two seasons’ for ‘rookie season’.

19. Miles Austin, DAL (5): Injuries have hampered Austin the last two seasons, but he has a lot of incentive to return to his 2009 form. He’s a dynamic player if he can stay on the field.

20. Dwayne Bowe, KC (7): His touchdown numbers took a big dip last year, falling from 15 in ’10 to five in ’11. Still, his yardage remained consistent. Given the revolving door at quarterback last year, you have to believe Bowe will look more like the 2010 version.

21. Stevie Johnson, BUF (8): He’s put up eerily similar numbers the past two seasons. Those numbers have been good and so has Stevie.

22. Eric Decker, DEN (7): Decker was a good fantasy player with Tim Tebow as his quarterback. Expect him to be a great fantasy player with Peyton Manning as his quarterback. I believe he’s got the football smarts and athleticism to be Peyton’s #1 guy.

23. Antonio Brown, PIT (4): Exploded onto the scene last year and earned himself a big contract. In fact, down the stretch, he was a better fantasy receiver than Mike Wallace.

24. Percy Harvin, MIN (11): Showed last season that he could carry the load as the top receiver, finishing eighth in fantasy points among receivers last year. He has a history of injuries, but if he’s healthy, he’s a good value.

25. Jeremy Maclin, PHI (7): Like Philadelphia’s entire season, the passing game was inconsistent. Still, we’ve seen what Maclin is capable of and he’s the Eagles receiver you’ll want on your team.

26. Pierre Garcon, WSH (10): He left Indy for the big contract and the chance to be the main guy. Garcon is all about the big play, and the Redskins will get him plenty of opportunities to show what he can do.

27. Demaryius Thomas, DEN (7): While I’m higher on Decker as a fantasy guy, Thomas very well could lead the team in touchdowns. He’s the type of freakish athlete that Manning can turn into a fantasy stud (just like he did for the guy listed above).

28. DeSean Jackson, PHI (7): DeSean’s fantasy value is closely tied to his ability to get into the end zone. His touchdown numbers have declined the past three years, as has his standing in the fantasy football rankings.

29. Robert Meachem, SD (7): Meachem goes from one elite quarterback to another. The only difference is he’ll see a lot more balls in San Diego.

30. Denarius Moore, OAK (5): Moore was hampered by injuries during his rookie year, but looks posed for a breakout season. He finished fourth in the league in deep catches last year. With a full offseason to work with Carson Palmer, expect that tandem to do good things together.

31. Santonio Holmes, NYJ (9): Ugh, someone has to catch the ball for the Jets. Holmes is the only capable wideout on the roster.

32. Kenny Britt, TEN (11): Had two incredible fantasy games to start 2011 before an ACL tear ended his season. Since then there has been nothing but drama and run-ins with the law. Now, facing a possible suspension, projecting Britt’s season is hazy. Draft at your own risk.

33. Torrey Smith, BAL (8): Smith grabs yards and touchdowns in bunches. If Cam Cameron can break away from his vanilla offense and find a way to get Smith the ball consistently – look out.

34. Malcom Floyd, SD (7): Will fight Meachem for the bulk of Philip Rivers’ passes.

35. Anquan Boldin, BAL (8): He’ll be slowed down by a nagging injury at some point in the season, but Boldin skills are still sharp, and I’m projecting his touchdown numbers to trend upwards.

36. Reggie Wayne, IND (4): See: Boldin, Anquan.

37. Nate Washington, TEN (11): Quietly put together a very nice season last year. Washington has the confidence of both Jake Locker and Matt Hasselbeck and has been the most consistent receiver the Titans have.

38. Sidney Rice, SEA (11): The quarterback situation will be better in Seattle and Rice still has the ability to replicate his 2010 season.

39. Justin Blackmon, JAX (6): He’s a rookie with subpar quarterback play on a bad team. That being said, Blackmon has the physical tools to be placed much higher on this list.

40. Laurent Robinson, JAX (6): Robinson broke out last year playing in Dallas. Jacksonville is not Dallas. Still, he’ll be a serviceable fantasy player.

41. Darrius Heyward-Bey, OAK (5): Last season it wasn’t DHB’s play that was inconsistent; it was how the Raiders used him. He dominated the field for more than a month, disappeared for the next month, and then dominated again. If you’re willing to ride the rollercoaster, your pick could be rewarded.

42. Michael Crabtree, SF (9): The 49ers have remade the passing game, but Crabtree still remains. He has good hands and will actually be aided from San Fran’s additions.

43. Titus Young, DET (5): Look for Young to overtake Nate Burleson and start opposite Calvin Johnson.

44. Mike Williams, TB (5): Williams was extremely impressive his rookie year and was extremely unimpressive last year. With Vincent Jackson in the fold, there will be more room for Williams to operate.

45. Randy Moss, SF (9): He is a niche player at this point, but his niche is as a deep threat and touchdown machine. He shouldn’t be a starter on your team every week, but with the right matchup, he’ll be worth the investment.

46. Brian Quick, STL (9): He certainly fits the mold of a fantasy sleeper. The rookie has height and speed and should endear himself to Sam Bradford quickly (no pun intended).

47. Rueben Randle, NYG (11): The depth behind Cruz and Nicks is weak, and the Giants showed that there are plenty of receptions to go around last year. Randle is a nice late flyer pick.

48. Michael Floyd, AZ (10): Will have ample opportunities opposite of Larry Fitzgerald.

49. Leonard Hankerson, WSH (10): It took him awhile to pick up Washington’s offense, but once he did, he excelled. An injury cut his season short, but he’ll get the first crack to start opposite of Garcon.

50. Davone Bess, MIA (7): It might not always be pretty in South Beach, but Bess is the best receiver on the roster.

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This post was written by Stephen on August 18, 2012

Sports Geek’s 2012 Fantasy Football Preview: TE

The first wave of preseason games are in the books and fantasy football drafts are right around the corner. In the coming weeks, we will prepare you ready for the upcoming fantasy season by breaking every position. Today we’re talking the top-heavy tight end position.

Full Rankings

1. Rob Gronkowski, NE (9): He set positional records for receiving yards and touchdowns last year. He’ll be the first tight end off the board, and if you’re the owner picking him, you’ll be happy.

2. Jimmy Graham, NO (6): Graham’s spectacular season was overshadowed by Gronk, but he finished with the second most receiving yards by a tight end in NFL history. With Robert Meachem now in San Diego, Graham’s role in the offense could expand even more.

3. Vernon Davis, SF (9): Davis really came on for the Niners in the playoffs and showed fantasy owners what he is capable of. With new weapons like Randy Moss and Mario Manningham drawing attention on the outside, the middle will be open for Davis.

4. Jermichael Finley, GB (10): If he can stay healthy (and that’s a big if) Finley has the chance to put himself into the conversation with Gronkowski and Graham. But Finley also dropped 11 passes last season and is behind Jordy Nelson and Greg Jennings in the pecking order. He’s a classic risk/reward pick.

5. Jason Witten, DAL (5): Started strong with through the first eight games of the season but his production tailed off dramatically towards the end of the year. Witten failed to reach the end zone in the final six games. He’s still productive but should not be drafted higher than the fifth round.

6. Antonio Gates, SD (7): Another aging superstar tight end, Gates missed four games due to injury, and just doesn’t have the speed to make plays in the open field. But with Vincent Jackson now residing in Tampa Bay, expect the Chargers to expand Gates’ role in the offense this season.

7. Aaron Hernandez, NE (9): On any other team, he’d be a top-flight fantasy option. Even with Gronk in front of him on the depth chart, the Patriots are creative in finding ways to get Hernandez the ball.

8. Fred Davis, WSH (10): Showed glimpses of what he is capable of last season with nearly 800 yards through the first 12 games of the year. But then he suspended the final four games for marijuana use. Still, with a rookie quarterback in the mix, Davis should see his fair share of balls.

9. Brandon Pettigrew, DET (5): Finished third in the league in fantasy receptions and was second in targets. The reason he doesn’t rank higher on this list is because he doesn’t put up a ton of yards, but is a great option in a PPR league.

10. Tony Gonzalez, ATL (7): Gonzalez is very well the best tight end to play the game and still has a lot left in the tank. Matt Ryan does a good job utilizing him in the middle of the field, but don’t expect the world from this 36 year old.

11. Jacob Tamme, DEN (7): Projecting this spot a little, but we saw what Peyton and Tamme could do together in Indianapolis. It’s well documented that Manning is a big fan of getting his tight ends involved. I expect that trend to continue with the Broncos.

12. Dustin Keller, NYJ (9): The Jets receiving corps is among the league’s worst. Someone has to catch the ball, and Keller is the most reliable receiving threat on the team.

13. Jared Cook, TEN (11): Cook has the physical tools to be an extremely good tight end. He’s 6-5, 250 and runs a 4.5 40-yard dash. He really blossomed in the final three games, going over 100 yards twice. If he can reach his potential, he’ll move way up this list next year.

14. Owen Daniels, HOU (8): Daniels has had a few down years and is no longer a top fantasy option. But he’s still a solid route running tight end in a play action offense. He’ll see his share of balls this season.

15. Martellus Bennett, NYG (11): No longer stuck behind Witten on the Cowboys’ depth chart, Bennett came to New York looking for a chance to shine. Because of injuries at tight end, Bennett should get a lot playing time. He’s certainly a player to watch.

16. Jermaine Gresham, CIN (8): Surprisingly solid for the Bengals last year. He will only get better as Andy Dalton develops, but might not become a fantasy starter until Cincy commits to featuring his athleticism in the fantasy game.

17. Brent Celek, PHI (7): Closed the season with touchdowns in his final three games, Celek was gold in the fantasy playoffs. However, his targets and catches the rest of the year where all over the map. Celek is a TE2, but likely not a starter.

18. Greg Olsen, CAR (6): His numbers should improve with Jeremy Shockey no longer on the team, but Olsen does not see the ball enough in the red zone to be overly enthused with him as a prospect.

19. Kellen Winslow, SEA (11): My fantasy sleeper last season, Winslow was fourth among tight ends in targets last year. With Zach Miller already in the fold in the Emerald City, you might want to pass on Winslow.

20. Kyle Rudolph, MIN (11): You can’t teach height, and at 6-foot-6, Rudolph is a big target. He takes over as the main tight end and his best friend is Christian Ponder. Gut call, but I’m expecting some very nice things from Rudolph this season.

21. Coby Fleener, IND (4): At the very least, Coby Fleener is familiar to QB Andrew Luck, as the two were teammates at Stanford. Indy’s offensive line leaves a lot to be desired, which could mean more check downs to Fleener.

22. Marcedes Lewis, JAX (6): Put together one of the better fantasy seasons in 2010-11, but followed it up by catching just 39 passes and no touchdowns. Buyer beware, the Jags QB situation is not good.

23. Ed Dickson, BAL (8): With Dennis Pitta out with a broken hand suffered in training camp, Dickson will not have to fight for playing time early in the season. Keep an eye on him. If he’s seeing the ball in the first couple of weeks, he might be worth a waiver claim.

24. Scott Chandler, BUF (8): Caught four touchdowns in the first three games last season, but just two after that. He’s a great red zone option for the Bills, but does not see the ball enough to be owned in most leagues.

25. Heath Miller, PIT (4): If the Steelers offensive line was better, Miller wouldn’t be a bad fantasy option. But too often he’s forced to stay in as a blocker to compensate.

26. Tony Moeaki, KC (7): Moeaki is returning from an ACL injury, but showed good chemistry with QB Matt Cassel during his rookie year. Keep an eye on his camp battle with Kevin Boss, but I’d be surprised if Moeaki didn’t put up good numbers this year.

27. Joel Dreessen, DEN (7): Peyton Manning likes to keep his tight ends involved in the offense, and Dreessen did catch six touchdowns last season. Still, Dreessen will be the backup in Denver, and should be drafted as such.

28. Dallas Clark, TB (5): QB Josh Freeman threw to his tight ends a ton last season (see Kellen Winslow). Clark has struggled with injuries the past two seasons, but was a superstar when healthy. Keep an eye on the situation; he could be worth a flyer.

29. Evan Moore, CLE (10): The more durable of the Browns tight end options, Moore is used like a wide receiver in the red zone. Rookie quarterbacks lean on the tight ends more, so Moore could be more involved in the offense this year.

30. Anthony Fasano, MIA (7): With Chad (Ochocinco) Johnson on the street and an underwhelming receiving corps, someone will have to catch the ball.

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This post was written by Stephen on August 15, 2012

Sports Geek’s 2012 Fantasy Football Preview: D/ST

Football fans, you’re Christmas is right around the corner. Preseason games have already started and the regular season is right around the corner. Nearly as important, the fantasy football season is finally here! In the coming weeks, we will prepare you ready for the upcoming fantasy season by breaking every position. First up, we’ll rank the top the top defense & special team units.

 

Full Rankings

1. 49ers: Last year San Francisco finished with the most fantasy points despite picking up just one defensive touchdown. Given the playmakers on John Harbaugh’s team, you have to expect that number to go up.

2. Texans: DC Wade Phillips turned Houston’s weakness into strength last season, completely transforming the defense. With a full training camp, expect this defense to only get better.

3. Bears: Call this ranking a hunch, but Chicago’s defense has always been able to turn the ball over. Last season they scored six defensive touchdowns and Devin Hester is always a threat to return a kick for a score. An improved offense will only help Chicago’s D.

4. Ravens: Age and injuries are beginning to catch up with this former defensive powerhouse. Even with the loss of 2011 Defensive Player of the Year Terrell Suggs, the defense should once again be among the league’s best. After all, you can’t count out a unit featuring Ed Reed and Ray Lewis.

5. Steelers: Like the Ravens, Pittsburgh’s defense isn’t getting any younger. Still, this is a defense that allowed an NFL-low 271 yards per game last season. With a good return game and ball-hawking secondary, expect at least one more good fantasy season for this unit.

6. Eagles: No longer dubbed the Dream Teams, Philadelphia has quietly added a couple of nice pieces and turned weakness into strengths. The addition of DeMeco Ryans solves the middle linebacker spot. Add in guys like Jason Babin, Nnamdi Asomugha and Trent Cole, and this unit has a chance at the top-overall spot.

7. Jets: For all of his faults, Rex Ryan does a great job of getting the most out of his defenses. Safety was a weakness last year, but the addition of a healthy LaRon Landry should help. Expect more of the same from this unit.

8. Packers: Green Bay had an OK fantasy season last year, but OK was not good enough. After allowing an NFL-worst 412 yards a game, the unit has beefed up its front seven, adding in rookie pass rusher Nick Perry as well as a plethora of defensive lineman. Don’t forget, this unit had 31 picks last season. With more pressure on the quarterback, the hope is that number will go up even more.

9. Lions: Detroit’s defense is making most of its news in the police blotter, but this is a unit with some real star power. The key for the Lions D is getting to the quarterback, which they did 41 times last season.

10. Seahawks: Quick, name the fifth-best fantasy defense last year. My guess is Seattle was not even in your top ten guesses. With only one major loss from last year’s unit (LB David Hawthorne), the Seahawks might be your best bang for the buck.

11. Falcons: Atlanta has one of the best sets of corners, with Asante Samuel joining Brent Grimes and Dunta Robinson via an offseason trade. If Ray Edwards can prove he is worth his big contract (just 3.5 sacks last season), the Falcons defense should be solid.

12. Bills: All it took was one offseason for Buffalo to revamp its defensive line into one of the league’s best. Free agent defensive ends Mario Williams and Mark Anderson join defensive tackles Marcell Dareus and Kyle Williams to form one of the most imposing D-lines in the league. This is certainly a unit on the rise.

13. Cowboys: This is a conservative estimate for Dallas’ D, who can get to the quarterback with the best of them. The question is if the additions of Brandon Carr and Morris Claiborne are enough to fix the Cowboys’ secondary. If the back half of the defense can stay healthy, the team had top-5 potential.

14. Giants: Despite its phenomenal postseason run, the Giants actually struggled most of the year on defense. But health and inexperience played big parts in New York falling to the 22nd best fantasy defense last season. There are just too many good players to think that will happen again.

15. Chiefs: Even though the injury bug bit KC early and often last season, the defense played pretty well. They have a good pass rush, nice linebacker play, and an above-average secondary. If healthy, this is a defense worth owning.

16. Cardinals: We’ve spent a lot of time discussing the defenses, but the return game is a big piece of how the scores pan out. With Patrick Peterson returning kicks in Arizona, this unit gets a big boost. Still, they have to force more turnovers before they should be on a fantasy roster.

17. Dolphins: This unit got better as last season went on and a change at coach should give new life to Miami’s D. From week 8 on, the team averaged a consistent 8.1 fantasy points a game. Depending on the matchup, the Dolphins could be a good bye week pickup.

18. Bengals: Have you looked at Cincinnati’s defensive roster for this upcoming season? It’s like the team of misfit draft busts. Seriously, give it a look. Still, if they can somehow turn some of this potential into production, look out for Cincy.

19. Rams: St. Louis’ defense is not bad, just not all that good. They are young at a number of positions, and might be a year or two away from being a dependable fantasy defense.

20. Patriots: The secondary was so bad last season that a wide receiver saw a ton of playing time at corner last year. They made some interesting moves in the offseason, but I’d watch and wait before adding New England to your roster.

21. Raiders: Oakland’s defensive front is actually pretty good, but the team had to remake its secondary again this offseason. There’s potential but better options out there.

22. Broncos: They can get to the quarterback with Elvis Dumervil and Von Miller, but there are a lot of question marks on the roster. Pass on Denver.

23. Titans: Lost a lot of key pieces in the offseason and did not really replace them.

24. Browns: Cleveland is good against the run but the secondary is pretty porous. Not a great fantasy option.

25. Redskins: There is young talent on the roster, but too many holes remain unfilled. Pass.

26. Chargers: If the pass rush can come into form this unit will be better than this ranking. But that’s a big if…

27. Buccaneers: They have talent, but like the Rams, they are likely a year or two away from realizing their potential.

28. Jaguars: Good news: Jacksonville finished 11th in fantasy points last season. Bad news: take away the week 14 performance and they are right back near the bottom.

29. Saints: Bountygate gutted the roster but age and ineffectiveness are what makes this unit undraftable.

30. Vikings: They have Jared Allen, so that’s nice. They also have the league’s worst secondary, so that’s not.

31. Panthers: The team’s defensive hopes might rest on the reconstructed ACLs of linebackers Jon Beason and Thomas Davis.

32. Colts: Switching to a 3-4 without the personnel to make the defense succeed. Check back in two years.

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This post was written by Stephen on August 9, 2012