Falling into the Gap…

There’s no doubting it.  Thursday morning was extremely cold in western Wisconsin.  Sure, there are times during the winter when the temperature overnight tumbles into the double digits below zero.  But when you add a decent wind into the equation, the situation turns from plain cold to dangerous.  Wind chills of -25 to -30 were recorded across western Wisconsin during the early morning hours.  In those conditions, a person not dressed properly would have experienced frostbite or hypothermia in a matter of minutes.

In my opinion, our forecast regarding the dangerous cold came with ample warning time.  We continued to provide updates during the coldest period, letting the public know what to expect and how long the danger would last.  You may have noticed though no cold weather advisories or warnings were issued by the National Weather Service for the Chippewa Valley.  The reason: a new experimental program that ditches the Wind Chill Advisory and Wind Chill Warning for the “Extreme Cold Warning.”

Figure 1 - Warnings/Advisories for night of 1/18/2012

Check out Figure 1 on the left side of your screen.  Take note that our eastern and southern counties were included in a Wind Chill Advisory.  Meanwhile, the Eau Claire area and locations north and west were under no kind of advisory or warning for cold weather.  Far to the west, around St. Cloud, MN, the dark blue represents the Extreme Cold Warning that was in effect.  
 
So why the “gap”?  The answer is a little complicated, but I’ll do my best to explain it.  Basically, the WQOW News 18 viewing area is served by two National Weather Service offices – Chanhassen, MN and La Crosse, WI.  The Chanhassen office, along with all Minnesota offices, is participating in this new experimental program where the public is warned if temperatures or wind chills are expected to sink below -35 for an extended period of time.  If the forecast for part of their area meets this requirement, an Extreme Cold Warning is issued.  Meanwhile, the La Crosse office, along with all Wisconsin offices, is not participating in the experiment.  They continue to issue the Wind Chill Advisory/Warning, based on the forecast and a requirement of temperatures or wind chills near -20 or colder for an extended time. 
 

Thursday Morning's Wind Chills (1/19/2012)

In summary, Eau Claire would have been included in a Wind Chill Advisory in the past.  But because “Wind Chill Advisory” does not exist in the Chanhassen “language” anymore, no cold weather alerts were issued, even though wind chills were just as cold compared to locations in the Wind Chill Advisory, like Medford, Neillsville, Osseo and Mondovi.

 
The weather service is aware of this issue and appreciates feedback when issues like these arise.  In their defense, their overall goal is to increase public awarness by making warnings and advisories better.  In my opinion, there’s nothing worse than “crying wolf” during an urgent weather event.  I can’t blame them for working to improve our system.  We’ve just got to get through the growing pains.
 
The moral of this blog post is just because you’re not under a warning, doesn’t mean you will escape the power of Mother Nature.  This not only pertains to the cold, but severe weather in the summer too.  There are lots of storms in the summer that borderline severe.  They don’t meet the criteria, but they can still pack high winds and drop hail.  Always keep tuned to the weather forecast, whether it’s on air or online.  That way, when we’re thrown a curve ball, you’ll be prepared.
 
If you have any comments on this issue, please feel free to leave them!  Thanks for reading, and stay tuned for more from Beyond the Forecast…

Posted under Hometown Weather, Weather

Rediscovering the Wind Chill…

9:20 AM, January 12.  Temperature: 11°, wind chill: -1°.

Yes, it does feel cold outside!  With highs today only reaching the middle teens and strong northwest winds, some would say it’s downright brutal outside.

This certainly isn’t the coldest weather we’ve experienced in the Chippewa Valley.  In fact, our low temperature average for this time of the year is 5°, while our average high is 23°.  But with readings in the 40s and low 50s earlier this week, you can’t help but feel chilled to the bone!  At least I do.  I don’t mind the snow, but I really don’t like the colder weather, especially when the utility bill comes.  There must be a mouse or a hamster spinning that wheel for me in the electric meter…

The talk about arctic air’s return has me thinking about something we haven’t discussed much this winter: wind chill.  The last few years, wind chill readings from -15° to -30° were not unheard of in western Wisconsin.  This year, as you know, it’s a different story.  But as I take a quick look at the long range temperature projections, I can tell you wind chill is something we’ll have to get a little more used to again.

Wind Chill Chart --- Courtesy: National Weather Service

Most have a basic understanding of wind chill, but if you don’t, that’s perfectly fine.  In short, the colder and winder conditions are, the colder it feels outside.  Check out the chart on the left, courtesy of the National Weather Service.  If the morning temperature is 0° and the wind is northwest at 15 mph, the wind chill is -19°.   Hopefully never this case, but -20° with a 15 mph wind, the wind chill will be -45°.  Why is the wind chill important?  If you study the chart, you’ll see different colors.  Frostbite can always occur anytime the temperature is below freezing, but it the process is much quicker when the wind chill is -18° or colder.

 
You’ll also notice a math formula at the bottom of the chart.  That’s the special equation that utilizes the current temperature and wind speed to give us the wind chill.  I mentioned earlier the colder and winder conditions are, the colder it feels outside.  This math formula, designed by experts in both the weather and physiology fields, calculates what the temperature would feel like to an average person’s face.  It incorporates a whole slew of heat transfer theory that I’ll avoid for sanity’s sake.  In summary, each person has a different experience with wind chill.  Some can tolerate it more than others.  This difference isn’t enough to factor out frostbite!  Having experienced the pains of minor frostbite, I can tell you it’s no treat!
 
I’ll end today’s blog post with a trivia question I hope you’ll take a stab at.  Even if you don’t have a clue, don’t be afraid to chime in explaining how the cold affects you.  I would love to hear from you, and part of my job is helping people understand weather.  And, no cheating! :)   Stay tuned for more from Beyond the Forecast…
 
Question: What’s the coldest temperature ever recorded in Wisconsin?  -55°F  
 
Where did it occur?  Couderay, WI    
 
 
Bonus: What’s Eau Claire’s coldest temperature on record?  -45°F on January 30, 1951
 

Posted under Hometown Weather, Weather

This post was written by Nick Grunseth on January 12, 2012

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